Thursday April 2nd

2-04-2020

Stock futures give up most of their gains after a massive surge in jobless claims

U.S. stock index futures pared sharp gains from earlier in the session on Thursday on the back of grim unemployment data. Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 futures turned negative around 8:40 a.m. before trading slightly higher. Earlier, Dow futures were up more than 400 points. The Labor Department reported more than 6 million people filed for unemployment benefits in the week of March 27. Economists expected another 4 million to 5 million workers filed for jobless claims last week as coronavirus-related shutdowns roll through the country. The estimates ranged as high as 9 million. “The news is terrible and I’m not sure why the estimates the past two weeks have been so far off but we all know how rough things are,” said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group. “The only question it seems is timing. The timing of when that freaking curve bends and when we as a society decide to shift to a life resumption plan, masks included.” Stock futures surged earlier after a jump in the price of oil, a financial market which has collapsed this year and raised concerns about hefty losses for the energy industry. WTI crude jumped 10% to back above $22 a barrel on Thursday after President Donald Trump said he expects Saudi Arabia and Russia to come to an agreement about their price war that has added to the pain for the crude market, already getting hit by an unprecedented demand slowdown from the coronavirus. West Texas Intermediate futures surged by $1.86, or 9.2%, to trade at $22.18 per barrel. Earlier in the session WTI traded as high as $22.60. International benchmark Brent crude jumped 8.5%, or $2.12, to trade at $26.86 per barrel. Traders have been closely watching oil because of its influence over other financial markets. The oil losses have been so big, that they have caused investors to sell other assets to cover their losses in crude. Plus, the 63% decline in oil this year is hurting the U.S. shale industry, a big driver of the economy and employment. Energy stocks were among the biggest gainers in premarket trading. Shares of Exxon Mobil and Chevron each gained more than 6%. Occidental Petroleum and Apache jumped more than 10%. Stocks posted steep losses on Wednesday to begin the second quarter, as the coronavirus outbreak continues to wreak havoc on global markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 4.4%, or 973.65 points, lower at 20,943.51. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also closed 4.4% lower, at 2,470.50 and 7,360.58, respectively. Stock losses accelerated minutes before the close, although the major averages did manage to end the session off the lows of the day. The Dow briefly fell more than 1,100 points. The coronavirus outbreak, which sent global markets tumbling in the first quarter, continues to act as a headwind for the market as investors grapple with the ongoing uncertainty around how long the economy will be closed. On Tuesday, the Dow and S&P 500 closed out their worst first-quarter performances of all time. The Dow fell more than 23% in the first quarter; that was also its biggest quarterly fall since 1987. The S&P 500 fell 20% in the first quarter, its biggest quarterly loss since 2008. “While we have not seen announcements yet, dividend cuts could be on the horizon for U.S. companies,” said New York Life Investments multi-asset portfolio strategist Lauren Goodwin. “With a heavy hit to revenues, businesses may opt to prioritize employees and lower borrowing loads over paying dividends. This could present a risk for equities. Announcements of temporary (1-2 quarters) of dividend cuts could be priced in, but longer cuts would likely contribute to negative sentiment,” she added. Amid the market rout, Congress passed a massive $2 trillion stimulus package in an effort to halt the economic slowdown caused by the pandemic. Already, there are calls for even more stimulus. Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Wednesday that Congress likely will have to deliver more stimulus to help those at the lower end of the economic spectrum and to boost small business. Unemployment is likely to “rise pretty dramatically over the next couple of months” and the economic damage won’t abate until the coronavirus is brought under control, he said. “I don’t think we’ll turn a corner until people feel comfortable taking mass transit again,” he said. Stocks in Asia Pacific were mixed on Thursday as global markets continue their rocky start to the second quarter. Mainland Chinese stocks recovered from earlier losses to jump on the day, with the Shanghai composite up 1.69% to about 2,780.64 while the Shenzhen composite advanced 2.258% to around 1,697.55. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index was 0.69% higher, as of its final hour of trading. Meanwhile, South Korea’s Kospi rose 2.34% to close at 1,724.86. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined 1.37% to end its trading day at 17,818.72 while the Topix index shed 1.57% to close at 1,329.87. Gold inched lower on a firm dollar on Thursday, but losses were limited as investors braced for U.S. jobless claims data due later in the day, which should give clues on how much the coronavirus is hurting the world’s biggest economy. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,588.09 per ounce by 0943 GMT. U.S. gold futures rose 0.7% to $1,603.00 an ounce.