Monday November 16th


Dow futures jump 400 points as Moderna says it has a highly effective Covid vaccine as well

U.S. stock index futures jumped Monday after Moderna said preliminary trial data showed its coronavirus vaccine was more than 94% effective. The promising announcement makes the Massachusetts-based biotech firm the second drugmaker to say it has a potentially effective vaccine. Similar trial results last week from Pfizer and BioNTech drove investors into underperforming names dependent on a vaccine reopening the economy. The companies said at the time that their candidate was more than 90% effective in preventing Covid-19 among participants. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 430 points, or 1.4%. The move implied an opening gain of about 435 points. S&P 500 futures rose 0.8% and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.4%. The Dow is just about 72 points shy of a record close. Last week, the Dow climbed 4% for its second-straight positive week. The S&P 500 posted a record closing high on Friday and notched a one-week gain of 2.2%. The Nasdaq Composite lagged, however, sliding 0.6%. Those moves came as traders piled into beaten-down value names at the expense of high-flying growth stocks amid positive vaccine news. The iShares Russell 1000 Value exchange-traded fund (IWD) rallied 5.7% last week while its growth counterpart, the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) slid 1.2%. The news sparked hope for an economic recovery, thus making travel stocks such as United Airlines and Carnival more attractive. United and Carnival rallied 12.4% and 15.9%, respectively, last week. United was up another 6% in premarket trading Monday, while Carnival was up another 7%. “The announcement of an effective Covid-19 vaccine by Pfizer/BioNTech last week was so important that we almost forget that there has just been a U.S. presidential election,” TS Lombard analysts Steven Blitz and Andrea Cicione wrote in a note. “The vaccine turns what could have been a prolonged crisis into something closer to a natural disaster (large shock, swift recovery),” they said. “Without an effective vaccine, current EPS consensus expectations (pointing to a return to trend by the end of next year) would be on the optimistic side. But with one, they may actually come to pass.” Traders were also excited after Moderna said its vaccine remains stable at 36 to 46 degrees Fahrenheit, the temperature of a standard home or medical refrigerator, for up to 30 days. It can be stored for up to six months at negative 4 degrees Fahrenheit. By comparison, Pfizer’s vaccine requires a storage temperature of minus 94 degrees Fahrenheit. To be sure, the number of coronavirus cases are still rising, thus threatening the prospects of a swift economic recovery. More than 11 million Covid-19 infections have been confirmed in the U.S., according to data from Johns Hopkins University. Data from the COVID Tracking Project also showed that a record of more than 68,500 people in the U.S. are hospitalized with the coronavirus. Dan Russo, chief market strategist at Chaikin Analytics, thinks the market can weather this latest spike in coronavirus cases, however. “it seems that investors are more focused on vaccine news and are willing to look past the near-term spike in cases,” he said in a post. “If this becomes a cause for concern for investors, it will become apparent on the charts and risk management will take over.” Asia markets bounced in Monday’s session after 15 economies in the region signed a deal that formed the world’s largest trade alliance. Tech and auto stocks soared. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 gained 2.05% to close at 25,906.93, while the Topix was up 1.68% tp 1,731.81. In South Korea, the Kospi rose nearly 2% to close at 2,543.03. Mainland Chinese stocks were higher by the close. The Shanghai composite rose more than 1% to 3,346.97, while the Shenzhen component was up 0.7% to 13,850.83. The country’s factory output rose faster than expected in October jumping 6.9%, data showed on Monday, according to Reuters. Retail sales continued to recover, climbing 4.3% year-on-year, but missing forecasts of a 4.9% growth. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index rose 0.58% in the afternoon. Oil prices climbed on Monday, recouping some losses from the previous session as hopes that OPEC+ will hold current output curbs offset concerns about weaker fuel demand due to rising Covid-19 cases and higher production from Libya. Brent crude futures for January rose $1.27, or 2.97%, to trade at $44.05 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for December was up $1.23, or 3.07%, at $41.36 per barrel. Gold hit a one-week high on Monday as COVID-19 cases continued to mount, raising investor expectations of further economic stimulus measures, while a subdued dollar added support. Spot gold was up 0.3% to $1,893.30 per ounce, having earlier hit its highest since Nov. 9 at $1,898.81. U.S. gold futures were up 0.3% at $1,891.70.