Wednesday September 29th


U.S. stock futures rebound slightly as 10-year yield’s run eases, Dow futures are up 75 points

U.S. stock index futures were slightly higher Wednesday as the rapid increase in the 10-year Treasury yield eased, causing investors to buy some beaten-up tech stocks on the dip. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 75 points, or 0.2%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.3%. Nasdaq-100 futures bounced back by 0.4%. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite posted its worst day since March amid a spike in bond yields. The 10-year Treasury Treasury yield lost 2 basis points on Wednesday to trade right around 1.50%. (1 basis point equals 0.01%). The yield touched a high of 1.567% Tuesday. Stock futures were trading in reaction to yields in the overnight session. As Treasury yields bounced slightly off their lows, stock futures came off their highs. Dow futures were up more than 200 points at one point overnight when yields were at their lowest point of the session. Tech stocks led Tuesday’s rout with Facebook, Microsoft and Alphabet losing more than 3%. Amazon fell more than 2%. Rising bond yields can hurt growth stocks, including tech stocks, because they lower the relative value of future earnings and can make the shares look overvalued. But tech stocks were rebounding in Wednesday’s premarket. Facebook, Amazon, Apple and Alphabet were all up about 1%. Nvidia and Zoom Video were also bouncing in the premarket. “If interest rate increases moderate from here on the back of declining inflation expectations, then it wouldn’t surprise me to see the market resume its march higher as we move into the fourth quarter,” said Brian Price, head of investment management for Commonwealth Financial Network. On Tuesday, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.83% to 14,546.68 for its worst day since March. The S&P 500 shed 2.04% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 569.38 points, or 1.63%. The Dow and S&P are now down 3% for September. The Nasdaq is down more than 4.5%. Tuesday’s “interest rate induced sell-off is a reminder of how impactful monetary stimulus has been with the Fed signaling a swift removal of the emergency stimulus measures is coming soon,” said Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist for Allianz Investment Management. “This is an uncomfortable period for market participants as the removal of Fed support will be underway soon and equity markets will have to learn how to stand on their own again. However, we should be reminded that it is unlikely the Fed would move forward with tapering bond purchases if they didn’t think the economy was ready.” The debt ceiling debate in Washington has also weighed on equities. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told House Speaker Nancy Pelosi Congress has until Oct. 18 to raise or suspend the debt ceiling and that failure to do so would have severe consequences for the economy. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said the bank was prepping for the possibility of the U.S. hitting the debt limit. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Tuesday to the Senate Banking Committee that inflation could persist longer than expected as a result of supply chain issues and reopening pressures. Shares of the semiconductor company Micron fell more than 3% in premarket trading after it reported earnings and revenue outlook for the first quarter of 2022 that missed consensus estimates. Pending home sales data is due out on Wednesday. Asia-Pacific stocks largely fell in Wednesday trade following an overnight tumble on Wall Street, with the Nasdaq plunging nearly 3% as bond yields rise. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 slipped 2.12% to close at 29,544.29 while the Topix index dropped 2.09% to finish the trading day at 2,038.29. Mainland Chinese stocks also saw sizable losses on the day as the Shanghai composite shed 1.83% to 3,536.29 and the Shenzhen component fell 1.64% to 14,079.02. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index bucked the overall regionally trend, closing 0.67% higher at 24,663.50. Hong Kong-listed shares of China Evergrande Group surged 14.98% after the developer announced it will sell a $1.5 billion stake in Shengjing Bank to a state-owned asset management firm. South Korea’s Kospi declined 1.22% to close at 3,060.27. Oil prices fell for the second straight day on Wednesday as doubts re-emerged over demand, with Covid-19 cases continuing to rise worldwide and gasoline shortages in some regions. Brent crude fell 43 cents, or 0.6%, to $78.65 per barrel, having fallen nearly $2 on Tuesday after touching $80.75, its highest in nearly three years. U.S. oil declined 45 cents, or 0.6%, to $74.86 per barrel, having dropped 0.2% in the previous session. Gold prices were flat near a seven-week low on Wednesday, pressured by a rise in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields on growing expectations of an earlier-than-anticipated interest rate liftoff.  Spot gold was flat at $1,735.17 per ounce by 0123 GMT. On Tuesday prices fell to their lowest level since Aug. 11 to $1,726.19. U.S. gold futures were little changed at $1,735.90. The dollar index hovered near a more than 10-month high, touched on Tuesday. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields held close to over three-month peak, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest bearing bullion.