Tuesday September 28th

28-09-2021

Nasdaq futures drop by 1.5% as surging bond yields cause investors to flee tech stocks

U.S. stock index futures were lower on Tuesday with Nasdaq futures taking the biggest hit as climbing bond yields pressured tech stocks. Futures on the Nasdaq-100 index dropped 1.6%. S&P 500 futures shed 0.8%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost about 171 points, or 0.6%. The 10-year Treasury yield continued its speedy climb on Tuesday, rising as high as 1.546% as investors bet the Fed would carry through on its promise to curb its emergency bond-buying stimulus as inflation jumps. The 10-year yield has reversed dramatically to the highest levels since June since the Fed signaled last week it would taper its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases "soon." The 10-year rate was as low as 1.29% at one point last week and was as low as 1.13% as recently as August. The 30-year Treasury yield has also been on the move, topping 2%. Tech shares were dropping in premarket trading as a rapid rise in rates makes their future cash flows less valuable, and in turn makes the popular stocks appear overvalued. Higher rates also hinder tech companies' ability to fund their growth and buy back stock. "When you see declines like this is the futures it is typically a multi-billion fund getting out ahead of what they think will be a three to four percent down move in tech," wrote CNBC's Jim Cramer on Twitter. "So give it some room." Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Alphabet shares all lost more than 1% in premarket trading. Large chip stocks like Nvidia and AMD shed 2%. Tesla lost 1.6% in the premarket. The drop in tech dragged down sentiment on the markets though there were pockets of strength. Energy stocks like Exxon rose in premarket trading as WTI crude topped $76 a barrel. Shares of Ford rose after the company announced plans to build new production facilities in the U.S. "Rather than ending the equity rally, we expect the rise in yields to favor cyclical sectors such as financials and energy over growth sectors such as technology, which experience a bigger drag on the present value of future cash flows from higher rates," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management. Also weighing on sentiment was a budget showdown in Washington. Senate Republicans blocked a House-passed bill Monday that would have funded the government into December and suspended the debt ceiling until December of 2022. Congress must approve government funding by Friday to avoid a shutdown and must raise the debt ceiling soon to avoid an unprecedented U.S. default. Equities saw an uneven session on Monday amid the spike in rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday gained 71 points, and the small-cap Russell 2000 rallied 1.5%. However, the S&P 500 fell 0.3%. The Nasdaq Composite was the relative underperformer, dipping 0.5%, as the drop in bond prices pressured growth names like Microsoft and Amazon. "The stock market increasingly indicates that the U.S. economy has entered another reopening cycle," Leuthold Group chief investment strategist Jim Paulsen. "A Covid-led resurgence in economic activity may well worsen supply chain woes and eventually reignite inflation concerns. But, for now, it has forced investors to reevaluate whether they have too much in growth and tech and not enough in economically sensitive investments," Paulsen added. Traders will be watching testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. In prepared remarks, the central bank chief said that inflation could persist longer-than-expected. "Inflation is elevated and will likely remain so in coming months before moderating," Powell said. "As the economy continues to reopen and spending rebounds, we are seeing upward pressure on prices, particularly due to supply bottlenecks in some sectors. These effects have been larger and longer lasting than anticipated, but they will abate, and as they do, inflation is expected to drop back toward our longer-run 2 percent goal." The central bank indicated last week that it was ready to begin "tapering" — the process of slowly pulling back the stimulus they've provided during the pandemic. The Fed left rates unchanged but penciled in possibly one interest rate hike in 2022, followed by three apiece in the 2023 and 2024. Thursday marks the final day of trading of September and the third quarter. The Dow is down 1.4% for the month, and the S&P 500 is off by 1.8%. The Nasdaq Composite has lost 1.9% in September. The Covid-19 delta variant, the Federal Reserve's tapering plan and inflation have worried investors. However, the Dow is still up nearly 14% year to date despite the weakness in September. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are also sharply higher. Stocks in Asia-Pacific were mostly lower on Tuesday, as various firms downgraded China’s GDP forecasts. Still, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index led gains regionally, jumping 1.2% on the day to 24,500.39. Mainland Chinese stocks closed mixed, with the Shanghai composite up 0.54% to 3,602.22 while the Shenzhen component fell 0.212% to 14,313.82. Elsewhere, South Korea’s Kospi slipped 1.14% to close at 3,097.92. In Japan, the Nikkei 225 closed 0.19% lower at 30,183.96 while the Topix index shed 0.29% to finish the trading day at 2,081.77. International oil benchmark Brent crude advanced for a sixth straight session on Tuesday, jumping above $80 per barrel for the first time since October 2018 as demand rebounds and supply remains tight. West Texas Intermediate crude futures, the U.S. oil benchmark, also rose for a sixth straight day, advancing about 1% to a more than two-month high of $76.28 per barrel. Both contracts are coming off five straight weeks of gains, and each is up more than 50% for 2021. Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust fall 0.3% on Monday. U.S. 10-year Treasury hits over three-month peak. Investors' sentiment in gold remains downbeat - analyst. Gold slid to a 1-1/2-month low on Tuesday, as a stronger dollar and U.S. Treasury yields curbed demand for non-interest-bearing bullion, while investors also waited for policy cues from a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. Spot gold hit its lowest level since Aug. 11 at $1,735.40 per ounce and was down 0.5% at $1,741.90 per ounce by 0855 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 0.5% to $1,742.40.